NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Los Angeles Rams: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 95 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 45-47-3 (48.9%)
Straight up: 37-57-1 (39.4%)
Over/under: 41-52-2 (44.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.43 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2000-2012: 25-34 (42.4%); 2013-2026: 20-13 (60.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2015 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2012 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 2-5-1 | 28.6% |
| 2010 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2009 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2008 | 2-7 | 22.2% |
| 2007 | 1-6 | 14.3% |
| 2006 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2005 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2004 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2003 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2000 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Los Angeles Rams?
45-47-3 against the spread (48.9%) in 95 team-games since 1999, 37-57-1 straight up and 41-52-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2000-2012: 25-34 (42.4%); 2013-2026: 20-13 (60.6%).