NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Kansas City Chiefs: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 49 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 25-24 (51.0%)
Straight up: 16-33 (32.7%)
Over/under: 17-31-1 (35.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.14 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2000-2012: 19-19 (50.0%); 2013-2026: 6-5 (54.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2010 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2008 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2007 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Kansas City Chiefs?
25-24 against the spread (51.0%) in 49 team-games since 1999, 16-33 straight up and 17-31-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2000-2012: 19-19 (50.0%); 2013-2026: 6-5 (54.5%).