NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Jacksonville Jaguars: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 87 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 39-47-1 (45.3%)
Straight up: 30-57 (34.5%)
Over/under: 44-43 (50.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.74 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 20-21 (48.8%); 2014-2025: 19-26 (42.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2020 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2019 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 2-5-1 | 28.6% |
| 2013 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2012 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2006 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 1999 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Jacksonville Jaguars?
39-47-1 against the spread (45.3%) in 87 team-games since 1999, 30-57 straight up and 44-43 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 20-21 (48.8%); 2014-2025: 19-26 (42.2%).