NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Indianapolis Colts: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 61 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 34-26-1 (56.7%)
Straight up: 33-28 (54.1%)
Over/under: 30-31 (49.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.33 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 14-16 (46.7%); 2014-2026: 20-10 (66.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: IND vs DAL
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2016 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Indianapolis Colts?
34-26-1 against the spread (56.7%) in 61 team-games since 1999, 33-28 straight up and 30-31 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 14-16 (46.7%); 2014-2026: 20-10 (66.7%).