NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Detroit Lions: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 81 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 48-33 (59.3%)
Straight up: 30-50-1 (37.5%)
Over/under: 41-40 (50.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.26 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 10 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2011: 28-20 (58.3%); 2012-2025: 20-13 (60.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 5-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2007 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2006 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2004 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2001 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Detroit Lions?
48-33 against the spread (59.3%) in 81 team-games since 1999, 30-50-1 straight up and 41-40 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 10 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 28-20 (58.3%); 2012-2025: 20-13 (60.6%).