NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Dallas Cowboys: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 68 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 39-27-2 (59.1%)
Straight up: 34-33-1 (50.7%)
Over/under: 33-35 (48.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.63 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 7 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2000-2012: 24-12 (66.7%); 2013-2025: 15-15 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2024 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2005 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2003 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2002 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2001 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2000 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Dallas Cowboys?
39-27-2 against the spread (59.1%) in 68 team-games since 1999, 34-33-1 straight up and 33-35 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 7 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2000-2012: 24-12 (66.7%); 2013-2025: 15-15 (50.0%).