NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Cleveland Browns: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 118 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 56-62 (47.5%)
Straight up: 37-81 (31.4%)
Over/under: 52-64-2 (44.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.82 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 28-26 (51.9%); 2013-2026: 28-36 (43.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: CLE at NO
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2023 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2018 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2017 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2016 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2015 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2014 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2012 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2007 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2005 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2003 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 1999 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Cleveland Browns?
56-62 against the spread (47.5%) in 118 team-games since 1999, 37-81 straight up and 52-64-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 28-26 (51.9%); 2013-2026: 28-36 (43.8%).