NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Cincinnati Bengals: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 88 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 38-45-5 (45.8%)
Straight up: 30-57-1 (34.5%)
Over/under: 41-45-2 (47.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.82 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2011: 20-28 (41.7%); 2012-2025: 18-17 (51.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2012 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2003 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2001 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2000 | 5-2-1 | 71.4% |
| 1999 | 0-7-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Cincinnati Bengals?
38-45-5 against the spread (45.8%) in 88 team-games since 1999, 30-57-1 straight up and 41-45-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 20-28 (41.7%); 2012-2025: 18-17 (51.4%).