NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Baltimore Ravens: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 39 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 20-19 (51.3%)
Straight up: 22-17 (56.4%)
Over/under: 20-19 (51.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.99 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2013: 15-9 (62.5%); 2014-2026: 5-10 (33.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-05: BAL vs JAX
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2005 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2004 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Baltimore Ravens?
20-19 against the spread (51.3%) in 39 team-games since 1999, 22-17 straight up and 20-19 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 15-9 (62.5%); 2014-2026: 5-10 (33.3%).