NFL Teams off a bye: Tennessee Titans: ATS Record Since 1999
The game after a bye week. 32 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 16-15-1 (51.6%)
Straight up: 18-14 (56.3%)
Over/under: 16-15-1 (51.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.66 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 7-11 (38.9%); 2013-2025: 9-4 (69.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL teams off a bye for the Tennessee Titans?
16-15-1 against the spread (51.6%) in 32 team-games since 1999, 18-14 straight up and 16-15-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 7-11 (38.9%); 2013-2025: 9-4 (69.2%).