NFL Teams off a bye: San Francisco 49ers: ATS Record Since 1999

The game after a bye week. 35 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 13-21-1 (38.2%)
Straight up: 15-19-1 (44.1%)
Over/under: 20-14-1 (58.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.51 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 8 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 8-9 (47.1%); 2013-2025: 5-12 (29.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

This week’s games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20251-0100.0%
20240-10.0%
20231-233.3%
20220-10.0%
20210-10.0%
20201-0100.0%
20192-166.7%
20180-10.0%
20170-10.0%
20160-10.0%
20150-10.0%
20140-10.0%
20130-10.0%
20121-233.3%
20112-0100.0%
20100-10.0%
20090-0-1—
20081-0100.0%
20070-10.0%
20060-10.0%
20050-10.0%
20040-10.0%
20031-0100.0%
20021-0100.0%
20011-150.0%
20001-0100.0%
19990-10.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL teams off a bye for the San Francisco 49ers?

13-21-1 against the spread (38.2%) in 35 team-games since 1999, 15-19-1 straight up and 20-14-1 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 8 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2012: 8-9 (47.1%); 2013-2025: 5-12 (29.4%).

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