NFL Teams off a bye: New York Giants: ATS Record Since 1999

The game after a bye week. 33 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 15-18 (45.5%)
Straight up: 17-16 (51.5%)
Over/under: 14-19 (42.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.27 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 10-10 (50.0%); 2013-2025: 5-8 (38.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

This week’s games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20250-10.0%
20240-10.0%
20231-0100.0%
20221-0100.0%
20210-10.0%
20200-10.0%
20191-0100.0%
20181-0100.0%
20170-10.0%
20161-0100.0%
20150-10.0%
20140-10.0%
20130-10.0%
20121-0100.0%
20111-150.0%
20101-0100.0%
20090-10.0%
20081-150.0%
20071-150.0%
20061-0100.0%
20051-0100.0%
20040-10.0%
20030-10.0%
20020-10.0%
20011-150.0%
20002-166.7%
19990-10.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL teams off a bye for the New York Giants?

15-18 against the spread (45.5%) in 33 team-games since 1999, 17-16 straight up and 14-19 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2012: 10-10 (50.0%); 2013-2025: 5-8 (38.5%).

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