NFL Teams off a bye: New Orleans Saints: ATS Record Since 1999
The game after a bye week. 31 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 14-17 (45.2%)
Straight up: 18-13 (58.1%)
Over/under: 16-15 (51.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.35 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 9-8 (52.9%); 2013-2025: 5-9 (35.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: NO vs CLE
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL teams off a bye for the New Orleans Saints?
14-17 against the spread (45.2%) in 31 team-games since 1999, 18-13 straight up and 16-15 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 9-8 (52.9%); 2013-2025: 5-9 (35.7%).