NFL Teams off a bye: Minnesota Vikings: ATS Record Since 1999

The game after a bye week. 32 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 13-17-2 (43.3%)
Straight up: 18-14 (56.3%)
Over/under: 21-11 (65.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -2 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 9-7 (56.3%); 2013-2026: 4-10 (28.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20260-10.0%
20250-10.0%
20240-10.0%
20230-0-1—
20221-0100.0%
20210-10.0%
20201-0100.0%
20190-10.0%
20180-10.0%
20171-150.0%
20160-10.0%
20151-0100.0%
20140-10.0%
20130-10.0%
20120-10.0%
20110-10.0%
20100-10.0%
20091-0-1100.0%
20081-0100.0%
20071-0100.0%
20061-0100.0%
20050-10.0%
20041-0100.0%
20031-0100.0%
20021-0100.0%
20010-20.0%
20002-0100.0%
19990-10.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL teams off a bye for the Minnesota Vikings?

13-17-2 against the spread (43.3%) in 32 team-games since 1999, 18-14 straight up and 21-11 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2012: 9-7 (56.3%); 2013-2026: 4-10 (28.6%).

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