NFL Teams off a bye: Kansas City Chiefs: ATS Record Since 1999

The game after a bye week. 40 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 19-21 (47.5%)
Straight up: 23-17 (57.5%)
Over/under: 13-25-2 (34.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 1 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2000-2013: 7-9 (43.8%); 2014-2026: 12-12 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20261-0100.0%
20250-10.0%
20241-233.3%
20231-150.0%
20221-233.3%
20211-0100.0%
20200-30.0%
20193-0100.0%
20181-150.0%
20170-10.0%
20161-150.0%
20151-0100.0%
20141-0100.0%
20130-10.0%
20120-10.0%
20111-0100.0%
20100-10.0%
20091-0100.0%
20080-10.0%
20070-10.0%
20061-0100.0%
20051-0100.0%
20040-10.0%
20031-150.0%
20021-0100.0%
20011-150.0%
20000-10.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL teams off a bye for the Kansas City Chiefs?

19-21 against the spread (47.5%) in 40 team-games since 1999, 23-17 straight up and 13-25-2 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

2000-2013: 7-9 (43.8%); 2014-2026: 12-12 (50.0%).

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