NFL Teams off a bye: Green Bay Packers: ATS Record Since 1999

The game after a bye week. 35 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 19-15-1 (55.9%)
Straight up: 24-11 (68.6%)
Over/under: 16-19 (45.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.01 points

Is it real?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 12-6 (66.7%); 2013-2025: 7-9 (43.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20250-10.0%
20240-10.0%
20230-10.0%
20221-0100.0%
20211-150.0%
20201-150.0%
20191-150.0%
20181-0100.0%
20170-10.0%
20160-0-1—
20150-10.0%
20141-150.0%
20131-0100.0%
20121-0100.0%
20111-150.0%
20102-0100.0%
20091-0100.0%
20081-0100.0%
20072-0100.0%
20061-0100.0%
20050-10.0%
20040-10.0%
20031-0100.0%
20021-0100.0%
20011-150.0%
20000-10.0%
19990-10.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL teams off a bye for the Green Bay Packers?

19-15-1 against the spread (55.9%) in 35 team-games since 1999, 24-11 straight up and 16-19 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2012: 12-6 (66.7%); 2013-2025: 7-9 (43.8%).

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