NFL Teams off a bye: Denver Broncos: ATS Record Since 1999
The game after a bye week. 36 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 23-12-1 (65.7%)
Straight up: 25-11 (69.4%)
Over/under: 14-22 (38.9% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.01 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 19 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 12-5 (70.6%); 2013-2025: 11-7 (61.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL teams off a bye for the Denver Broncos?
23-12-1 against the spread (65.7%) in 36 team-games since 1999, 25-11 straight up and 14-22 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 19 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 12-5 (70.6%); 2013-2025: 11-7 (61.1%).