NFL Teams off a bye: Chicago Bears: ATS Record Since 1999

The game after a bye week. 33 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 13-19-1 (40.6%)
Straight up: 15-18 (45.5%)
Over/under: 16-17 (48.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.77 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 8-11 (42.1%); 2013-2025: 5-8 (38.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20251-0100.0%
20240-10.0%
20231-0100.0%
20221-0100.0%
20211-0100.0%
20200-10.0%
20190-10.0%
20180-10.0%
20170-10.0%
20160-10.0%
20150-10.0%
20140-10.0%
20131-0100.0%
20120-10.0%
20111-0100.0%
20101-0-1100.0%
20090-10.0%
20080-10.0%
20071-0100.0%
20061-233.3%
20050-20.0%
20040-10.0%
20030-10.0%
20020-10.0%
20012-166.7%
20001-0100.0%
19991-0100.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL teams off a bye for the Chicago Bears?

13-19-1 against the spread (40.6%) in 33 team-games since 1999, 15-18 straight up and 16-17 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2012: 8-11 (42.1%); 2013-2025: 5-8 (38.5%).

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