NFL Teams off a bye: Carolina Panthers: ATS Record Since 1999

The game after a bye week. 34 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 16-18 (47.1%)
Straight up: 15-19 (44.1%)
Over/under: 17-17 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -4.07 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 8-9 (47.1%); 2013-2026: 8-9 (47.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20261-0100.0%
20250-10.0%
20241-0100.0%
20231-0100.0%
20221-0100.0%
20210-10.0%
20200-10.0%
20190-10.0%
20180-10.0%
20171-0100.0%
20161-0100.0%
20152-166.7%
20140-10.0%
20130-20.0%
20120-10.0%
20110-10.0%
20101-0100.0%
20090-10.0%
20081-150.0%
20070-10.0%
20061-0100.0%
20051-0100.0%
20040-10.0%
20032-0100.0%
20020-10.0%
20011-150.0%
20000-10.0%
19991-0100.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL teams off a bye for the Carolina Panthers?

16-18 against the spread (47.1%) in 34 team-games since 1999, 15-19 straight up and 17-17 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2012: 8-9 (47.1%); 2013-2026: 8-9 (47.1%).

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