NFL Teams off a bye: Atlanta Falcons: ATS Record Since 1999
The game after a bye week. 33 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 18-15 (54.5%)
Straight up: 19-14 (57.6%)
Over/under: 12-20-1 (37.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.71 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 8-10 (44.4%); 2013-2025: 10-5 (66.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL teams off a bye for the Atlanta Falcons?
18-15 against the spread (54.5%) in 33 team-games since 1999, 19-14 straight up and 12-20-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 8-10 (44.4%); 2013-2025: 10-5 (66.7%).