NFL Home underdogs: Washington Commanders: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams getting points at home. 113 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 51-57-5 (47.2%)
Straight up: 37-76 (32.7%)
Over/under: 53-56-4 (48.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.84 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2001-2014: 24-31 (43.6%); 2015-2026: 27-26 (50.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: WAS vs LA
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-4-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2019 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2018 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2014 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2013 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2012 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 3-3-2 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2006 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% |
| 2005 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2003 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2002 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2001 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home underdogs for the Washington Commanders?
51-57-5 against the spread (47.2%) in 113 team-games since 1999, 37-76 straight up and 53-56-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2001-2014: 24-31 (43.6%); 2015-2026: 27-26 (50.9%).