NFL Home underdogs: San Francisco 49ers: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams getting points at home. 77 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 37-39-1 (48.7%)
Straight up: 27-50 (35.1%)
Over/under: 31-46 (40.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.61 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2010: 21-21 (50.0%); 2011-2025: 16-18 (47.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2017 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2016 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2011 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2007 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2006 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2005 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2004 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2003 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 1999 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home underdogs for the San Francisco 49ers?
37-39-1 against the spread (48.7%) in 77 team-games since 1999, 27-50 straight up and 31-46 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.0%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2010: 21-21 (50.0%); 2011-2025: 16-18 (47.1%).