NFL Home underdogs: Minnesota Vikings: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams getting points at home. 60 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 36-23-1 (61.0%)
Straight up: 29-31 (48.3%)
Over/under: 30-29-1 (50.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.88 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 11 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2001-2014: 21-13 (61.8%); 2015-2025: 15-10 (60.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-09: MIN vs BUF
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2014 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2013 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2012 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2005 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home underdogs for the Minnesota Vikings?
36-23-1 against the spread (61.0%) in 60 team-games since 1999, 29-31 straight up and 30-29-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 11 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2001-2014: 21-13 (61.8%); 2015-2025: 15-10 (60.0%).