NFL Home underdogs: Miami Dolphins: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams getting points at home. 86 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 44-39-3 (53.0%)
Straight up: 37-49 (43.0%)
Over/under: 48-37-1 (56.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.03 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2000-2014: 18-21 (46.2%); 2015-2026: 26-18 (59.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: MIA vs DET
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2019 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2017 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2015 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2007 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2006 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2004 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2000 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home underdogs for the Miami Dolphins?
44-39-3 against the spread (53.0%) in 86 team-games since 1999, 37-49 straight up and 48-37-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2000-2014: 18-21 (46.2%); 2015-2026: 26-18 (59.1%).