NFL Home underdogs: Indianapolis Colts: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams getting points at home. 54 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 28-26 (51.9%)
Straight up: 19-35 (35.2%)
Over/under: 25-29 (46.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.11 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2017: 18-11 (62.1%); 2018-2026: 10-15 (40.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: IND vs DAL
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home underdogs for the Indianapolis Colts?
28-26 against the spread (51.9%) in 54 team-games since 1999, 19-35 straight up and 25-29 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.0%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2017: 18-11 (62.1%); 2018-2026: 10-15 (40.0%).