NFL Home underdogs: Houston Texans: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams getting points at home. 91 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 43-44-4 (49.4%)
Straight up: 28-62-1 (31.1%)
Over/under: 51-39-1 (56.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.87 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2002-2014: 22-21 (51.2%); 2015-2026: 21-23 (47.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2021 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2020 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2019 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2014 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2011 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2005 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2004 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2003 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2002 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home underdogs for the Houston Texans?
43-44-4 against the spread (49.4%) in 91 team-games since 1999, 28-62-1 straight up and 51-39-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2002-2014: 22-21 (51.2%); 2015-2026: 21-23 (47.7%).