NFL Home underdogs: Detroit Lions: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams getting points at home. 107 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 57-49-1 (53.8%)
Straight up: 30-77 (28.0%)
Over/under: 55-51-1 (51.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.24 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2009: 29-25 (53.7%); 2010-2022: 28-24 (53.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2021 | 5-2-1 | 71.4% |
| 2020 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2018 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2017 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2016 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2012 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2009 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 1-7 | 12.5% |
| 2007 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2005 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2003 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2002 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2001 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2000 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home underdogs for the Detroit Lions?
57-49-1 against the spread (53.8%) in 107 team-games since 1999, 30-77 straight up and 55-51-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2009: 29-25 (53.7%); 2010-2022: 28-24 (53.8%).