NFL Home underdogs: Denver Broncos: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams getting points at home. 58 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 35-22-1 (61.4%)
Straight up: 28-30 (48.3%)
Over/under: 25-32-1 (43.9% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.33 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 12 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2017: 17-12 (58.6%); 2018-2026: 18-10 (64.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2010 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2007 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home underdogs for the Denver Broncos?
35-22-1 against the spread (61.4%) in 58 team-games since 1999, 28-30 straight up and 25-32-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 12 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2017: 17-12 (58.6%); 2018-2026: 18-10 (64.3%).