NFL Home underdogs: Atlanta Falcons: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams getting points at home. 70 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 30-40 (42.9%)
Straight up: 23-47 (32.9%)
Over/under: 31-38-1 (44.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.96 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 14-24 (36.8%); 2014-2026: 16-16 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2021 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2006 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2001 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 1999 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home underdogs for the Atlanta Falcons?
30-40 against the spread (42.9%) in 70 team-games since 1999, 23-47 straight up and 31-38-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 14-24 (36.8%); 2014-2026: 16-16 (50.0%).