NFL Home favorites: Washington Commanders: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points at home. 110 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 45-63-2 (41.7%)
Straight up: 64-45-1 (58.7%)
Over/under: 51-57-2 (47.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -2.07 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 9 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 26-38 (40.6%); 2014-2026: 19-25 (43.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2023 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2016 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2013 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2007 | 3-4-1 | 42.9% |
| 2006 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2004 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 0-2-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2001 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 1999 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the Washington Commanders?
45-63-2 against the spread (41.7%) in 110 team-games since 1999, 64-45-1 straight up and 51-57-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 9 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 26-38 (40.6%); 2014-2026: 19-25 (43.2%).