NFL Home favorites: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points at home. 154 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 68-81-5 (45.6%)
Straight up: 95-59 (61.7%)
Over/under: 70-83-1 (45.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.19 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 44-39 (53.0%); 2014-2026: 24-42 (36.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 1-6 | 14.3% |
| 2024 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2022 | 1-5-1 | 16.7% |
| 2021 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2020 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 0-4-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2017 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2015 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2008 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2006 | 0-3-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2003 | 2-5-1 | 28.6% |
| 2002 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2001 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 1999 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
68-81-5 against the spread (45.6%) in 154 team-games since 1999, 95-59 straight up and 70-83-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 44-39 (53.0%); 2014-2026: 24-42 (36.4%).