NFL Home favorites: San Francisco 49ers: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points at home. 150 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 72-75-3 (49.0%)
Straight up: 104-45-1 (69.8%)
Over/under: 77-72-1 (51.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.63 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 36-32 (52.9%); 2013-2026: 36-43 (45.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: SF vs LV
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 3-7 | 30.0% |
| 2022 | 9-1 | 90.0% |
| 2021 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2020 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 5-4-1 | 55.6% |
| 2018 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2013 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2011 | 7-1 | 87.5% |
| 2010 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 4-2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2007 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2004 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 2-6-1 | 25.0% |
| 2001 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2000 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 1999 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the San Francisco 49ers?
72-75-3 against the spread (49.0%) in 150 team-games since 1999, 104-45-1 straight up and 77-72-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 36-32 (52.9%); 2013-2026: 36-43 (45.6%).