NFL Home favorites: New Orleans Saints: ATS Record Since 1999

Teams laying points at home. 165 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 77-86-2 (47.2%)
Straight up: 104-61 (63.0%)
Over/under: 86-79 (52.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.36 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 39-42 (48.1%); 2013-2026: 38-44 (46.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

This week’s games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20260-20.0%
20252-166.7%
20241-150.0%
20233-442.9%
20222-250.0%
20211-233.3%
20205-455.6%
20193-537.5%
20183-633.3%
20175-362.5%
20162-433.3%
20152-3-140.0%
20142-625.0%
20137-187.5%
20123-350.0%
20119-0100.0%
20104-450.0%
20095-550.0%
20085-183.3%
20072-625.0%
20061-516.7%
20050-20.0%
20041-233.3%
20033-350.0%
20021-4-120.0%
20012-433.3%
20002-166.7%
19991-233.3%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the New Orleans Saints?

77-86-2 against the spread (47.2%) in 165 team-games since 1999, 104-61 straight up and 86-79 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2012: 39-42 (48.1%); 2013-2026: 38-44 (46.3%).

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