NFL Home favorites: New Orleans Saints: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points at home. 165 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 77-86-2 (47.2%)
Straight up: 104-61 (63.0%)
Over/under: 86-79 (52.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.36 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 39-42 (48.1%); 2013-2026: 38-44 (46.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: NO vs CLE
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2022 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2019 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2018 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2016 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2013 | 7-1 | 87.5% |
| 2012 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 9-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2007 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2006 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2005 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2003 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 1-4-1 | 20.0% |
| 2001 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2000 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 1999 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the New Orleans Saints?
77-86-2 against the spread (47.2%) in 165 team-games since 1999, 104-61 straight up and 86-79 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 39-42 (48.1%); 2013-2026: 38-44 (46.3%).