NFL Home favorites: Minnesota Vikings: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points at home. 163 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 78-80-5 (49.4%)
Straight up: 116-47 (71.2%)
Over/under: 78-81-4 (49.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.13 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 40-43 (48.2%); 2013-2026: 38-37 (50.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 1-6 | 14.3% |
| 2019 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2018 | 4-2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2016 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 6-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2010 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 6-2-1 | 75.0% |
| 2008 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2007 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2005 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2004 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2003 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2002 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2000 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 1999 | 3-4-2 | 42.9% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the Minnesota Vikings?
78-80-5 against the spread (49.4%) in 163 team-games since 1999, 116-47 straight up and 78-81-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 40-43 (48.2%); 2013-2026: 38-37 (50.7%).