NFL Home favorites: Miami Dolphins: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points at home. 134 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 59-72-3 (45.0%)
Straight up: 86-48 (64.2%)
Over/under: 59-74-1 (44.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.57 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2011: 30-44 (40.5%); 2012-2025: 29-28 (50.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2023 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2022 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2017 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2016 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2014 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2012 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2010 | 1-6 | 14.3% |
| 2009 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2007 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2005 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2004 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 1-7 | 12.5% |
| 2002 | 7-1 | 87.5% |
| 2001 | 6-2-1 | 75.0% |
| 2000 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 1999 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the Miami Dolphins?
59-72-3 against the spread (45.0%) in 134 team-games since 1999, 86-48 straight up and 59-74-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 30-44 (40.5%); 2012-2025: 29-28 (50.9%).