NFL Home favorites: Los Angeles Chargers: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points at home. 160 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 74-81-5 (47.7%)
Straight up: 100-60 (62.5%)
Over/under: 73-85-2 (46.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.59 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 42-39 (51.9%); 2013-2026: 32-42 (43.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2024 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2023 | 1-3-1 | 25.0% |
| 2022 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2021 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 0-4-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2017 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2014 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2011 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2009 | 3-5-1 | 37.5% |
| 2008 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 7-1 | 87.5% |
| 2006 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2005 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 3-1-1 | 75.0% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2001 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2000 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the Los Angeles Chargers?
74-81-5 against the spread (47.7%) in 160 team-games since 1999, 100-60 straight up and 73-85-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 42-39 (51.9%); 2013-2026: 32-42 (43.2%).