NFL Home favorites: Kansas City Chiefs: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points at home. 180 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 82-94-4 (46.6%)
Straight up: 129-51 (71.7%)
Over/under: 71-108-1 (39.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.94 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 29-36 (44.6%); 2013-2026: 53-58 (47.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: KC vs NYJ
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2023 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2022 | 2-6-1 | 25.0% |
| 2021 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2019 | 5-2-1 | 71.4% |
| 2018 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 3-5-1 | 37.5% |
| 2015 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2014 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 0-3-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2005 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2004 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2003 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2002 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2001 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2000 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 1999 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the Kansas City Chiefs?
82-94-4 against the spread (46.6%) in 180 team-games since 1999, 129-51 straight up and 71-108-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 29-36 (44.6%); 2013-2026: 53-58 (47.7%).