NFL Home favorites: Houston Texans: ATS Record Since 1999

Teams laying points at home. 116 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 52-60-4 (46.4%)
Straight up: 77-39 (66.4%)
Over/under: 48-68 (41.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.35 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2002-2013: 25-27 (48.1%); 2014-2026: 27-33 (45.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20260-30.0%
20253-442.9%
20242-3-140.0%
20232-250.0%
20210-10.0%
20201-233.3%
20192-528.6%
20184-544.4%
20172-340.0%
20164-2-166.7%
20154-180.0%
20143-260.0%
20130-40.0%
20126-366.7%
20114-2-166.7%
20102-340.0%
20092-4-133.3%
20083-350.0%
20073-260.0%
20061-233.3%
20051-150.0%
20042-250.0%
20031-0100.0%
20020-10.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the Houston Texans?

52-60-4 against the spread (46.4%) in 116 team-games since 1999, 77-39 straight up and 48-68 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

2002-2013: 25-27 (48.1%); 2014-2026: 27-33 (45.0%).

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