NFL Home favorites: Houston Texans: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points at home. 116 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 52-60-4 (46.4%)
Straight up: 77-39 (66.4%)
Over/under: 48-68 (41.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.35 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2002-2013: 25-27 (48.1%); 2014-2026: 27-33 (45.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2024 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2023 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2018 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2017 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 4-2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2014 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2013 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 4-2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2009 | 2-4-1 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2006 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2005 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the Houston Texans?
52-60-4 against the spread (46.4%) in 116 team-games since 1999, 77-39 straight up and 48-68 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2002-2013: 25-27 (48.1%); 2014-2026: 27-33 (45.0%).