NFL Home favorites: Detroit Lions: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points at home. 116 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 55-57-4 (49.1%)
Straight up: 78-38 (67.2%)
Over/under: 71-45 (61.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.01 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.8%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 18-25 (41.9%); 2013-2026: 37-32 (53.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 5-4-1 | 55.6% |
| 2023 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2022 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2016 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2015 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2013 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2012 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2011 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2006 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2004 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 1999 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the Detroit Lions?
55-57-4 against the spread (49.1%) in 116 team-games since 1999, 78-38 straight up and 71-45 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.8%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 18-25 (41.9%); 2013-2026: 37-32 (53.6%).