NFL Home favorites: Buffalo Bills: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points at home. 152 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 79-70-3 (53.0%)
Straight up: 110-42 (72.4%)
Over/under: 75-75-2 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.04 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 35-31 (53.0%); 2013-2026: 44-39 (53.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2025 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2024 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 5-3-2 | 62.5% |
| 2020 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2019 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 4-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2014 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2010 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2007 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2005 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2004 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2003 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2002 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2001 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 1999 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the Buffalo Bills?
79-70-3 against the spread (53.0%) in 152 team-games since 1999, 110-42 straight up and 75-75-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 35-31 (53.0%); 2013-2026: 44-39 (53.0%).