NFL Home favorites: Atlanta Falcons: ATS Record Since 1999
Teams laying points at home. 155 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 67-85-3 (44.1%)
Straight up: 98-57 (63.2%)
Over/under: 73-79-3 (48.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.69 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 41-37 (52.6%); 2013-2026: 26-48 (35.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2024 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2022 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2019 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2017 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2016 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2015 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2014 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2013 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2012 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2011 | 3-1-2 | 75.0% |
| 2010 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2009 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2008 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2005 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2000 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites for the Atlanta Falcons?
67-85-3 against the spread (44.1%) in 155 team-games since 1999, 98-57 straight up and 73-79-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 41-37 (52.6%); 2013-2026: 26-48 (35.1%).