NFL Division underdogs: Washington Commanders: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting points against a division rival. 114 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 57-52-5 (52.3%)
Straight up: 36-78 (31.6%)
Over/under: 53-55-6 (49.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.8 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 31-23 (57.4%); 2013-2026: 26-29 (47.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2024 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2018 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2017 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2014 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2013 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2012 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 1-4-1 | 20.0% |
| 2005 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2002 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2001 | 4-1-1 | 80.0% |
| 2000 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division underdogs for the Washington Commanders?
57-52-5 against the spread (52.3%) in 114 team-games since 1999, 36-78 straight up and 53-55-6 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 31-23 (57.4%); 2013-2026: 26-29 (47.3%).