NFL Division underdogs: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting points against a division rival. 88 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 42-44-2 (48.8%)
Straight up: 28-60 (31.8%)
Over/under: 45-43 (51.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.02 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2011: 20-20 (50.0%); 2012-2026: 22-24 (47.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2016 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2013 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2012 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2010 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2007 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2006 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2005 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division underdogs for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
42-44-2 against the spread (48.8%) in 88 team-games since 1999, 28-60 straight up and 45-43 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 20-20 (50.0%); 2012-2026: 22-24 (47.8%).