NFL Division underdogs: San Francisco 49ers: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting points against a division rival. 87 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 43-41-3 (51.2%)
Straight up: 27-60 (31.0%)
Over/under: 40-44-3 (47.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.71 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 21-22 (48.8%); 2013-2026: 22-19 (53.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2020 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2017 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2016 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2014 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2013 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2007 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2006 | 5-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2003 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 0-5-1 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division underdogs for the San Francisco 49ers?
43-41-3 against the spread (51.2%) in 87 team-games since 1999, 27-60 straight up and 40-44-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 21-22 (48.8%); 2013-2026: 22-19 (53.7%).