NFL Division underdogs: New England Patriots: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting points against a division rival. 49 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 29-19-1 (60.4%)
Straight up: 22-27 (44.9%)
Over/under: 25-23-1 (52.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 3.96 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 8 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 17-8 (68.0%); 2014-2026: 12-11 (52.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2001 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2000 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 1999 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division underdogs for the New England Patriots?
29-19-1 against the spread (60.4%) in 49 team-games since 1999, 22-27 straight up and 25-23-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 8 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 17-8 (68.0%); 2014-2026: 12-11 (52.2%).