NFL Division underdogs: Kansas City Chiefs: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting points against a division rival. 66 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 38-26-2 (59.4%)
Straight up: 26-40 (39.4%)
Over/under: 30-33-3 (47.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.52 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 8 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2011: 28-17 (62.2%); 2012-2026: 10-9 (52.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2011 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 5-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2005 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 4-1-1 | 80.0% |
| 2000 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 1999 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division underdogs for the Kansas City Chiefs?
38-26-2 against the spread (59.4%) in 66 team-games since 1999, 26-40 straight up and 30-33-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 8 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 28-17 (62.2%); 2012-2026: 10-9 (52.6%).