NFL Division underdogs: Green Bay Packers: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting points against a division rival. 51 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 26-23-2 (53.1%)
Straight up: 20-30-1 (40.0%)
Over/under: 27-23-1 (54.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.02 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2011: 15-8 (65.2%); 2013-2026: 11-15 (42.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2017 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2005 | 0-3-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 1999 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division underdogs for the Green Bay Packers?
26-23-2 against the spread (53.1%) in 51 team-games since 1999, 20-30-1 straight up and 27-23-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 15-8 (65.2%); 2013-2026: 11-15 (42.3%).