NFL Division underdogs: Detroit Lions: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting points against a division rival. 108 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 56-49-3 (53.3%)
Straight up: 25-83 (23.1%)
Over/under: 47-60-1 (43.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.35 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2011: 34-28 (54.8%); 2012-2025: 22-21 (51.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2019 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2009 | 0-5-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2007 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2006 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2005 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2002 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2001 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2000 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 1999 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division underdogs for the Detroit Lions?
56-49-3 against the spread (53.3%) in 108 team-games since 1999, 25-83 straight up and 47-60-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 34-28 (54.8%); 2012-2025: 22-21 (51.2%).