NFL Division underdogs: Denver Broncos: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting points against a division rival. 64 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 31-31-2 (50.0%)
Straight up: 20-44 (31.3%)
Over/under: 30-33-1 (47.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.22 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 13-11 (54.2%); 2014-2026: 18-20 (47.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2010 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2006 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2003 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division underdogs for the Denver Broncos?
31-31-2 against the spread (50.0%) in 64 team-games since 1999, 20-44 straight up and 30-33-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 13-11 (54.2%); 2014-2026: 18-20 (47.4%).