NFL Division underdogs: Buffalo Bills: ATS Record Since 1999
Getting points against a division rival. 89 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 41-46-2 (47.1%)
Straight up: 28-61 (31.5%)
Over/under: 44-45 (49.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.23 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2010: 22-31 (41.5%); 2011-2024: 19-15 (55.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 3-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2012 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2011 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2010 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2007 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2005 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2001 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2000 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 1999 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division underdogs for the Buffalo Bills?
41-46-2 against the spread (47.1%) in 89 team-games since 1999, 28-61 straight up and 44-45 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2010: 22-31 (41.5%); 2011-2024: 19-15 (55.9%).